大巴灵顿宣言(The Great Barrington Declaration)

使用CN2/CN2GIA顶级线路,支持Shadowsocks/V2ray科学上网,支持支付宝付款,每月仅需 5 美元
## 加入品葱精选 Telegram Channel ##

大巴灵顿宣言(The Great Barrington Declaration)



As infectious disease epidemiologists and public health scientists we have grave concerns about the damaging physical and mental health impacts of the prevailing COVID-19 policies, and recommend an approach we call Focused Protection.


Coming from both the left and right, and around the world, we have devoted our careers to protecting people. Current lockdown policies are producing devastating effects on short and long-term public health. The results (to name a few) include lower childhood vaccination rates, worsening cardiovascular disease outcomes, fewer cancer screenings and deteriorating mental health – leading to greater excess mortality in years to come, with the working class and younger members of society carrying the heaviest burden. Keeping students out of school is a grave injustice.


Keeping these measures in place until a vaccine is available will cause irreparable damage, with the underprivileged disproportionately harmed.


Fortunately, our understanding of the virus is growing. We know that vulnerability to death from COVID-19 is more than a thousand-fold higher in the old and infirm than the young. Indeed, for children, COVID-19 is less dangerous than many other harms, including influenza.


As immunity builds in the population, the risk of infection to all – including the vulnerable – falls. We know that all populations will eventually reach herd immunity – i.e. the point at which the rate of new infections is stable – and that this can be assisted by (but is not dependent upon) a vaccine. Our goal should therefore be to minimize mortality and social harm until we reach herd immunity.


The most compassionate approach that balances the risks and benefits of reaching herd immunity, is to allow those who are at minimal risk of death to live their lives normally to build up immunity to the virus through natural infection, while better protecting those who are at highest risk. We call this Focused Protection.


Adopting measures to protect the vulnerable should be the central aim of public health responses to COVID-19. By way of example, nursing homes should use staff with acquired immunity and perform frequent PCR testing of other staff and all visitors. Staff rotation should be minimized. Retired people living at home should have groceries and other essentials delivered to their home. When possible, they should meet family members outside rather than inside. A comprehensive and detailed list of measures, including approaches to multi-generational households, can be implemented, and is well within the scope and capability of public health professionals.


Those who are not vulnerable should immediately be allowed to resume life as normal. Simple hygiene measures, such as hand washing and staying home when sick should be practiced by everyone to reduce the herd immunity threshold. Schools and universities should be open for in-person teaching. Extracurricular activities, such as sports, should be resumed. Young low-risk adults should work normally, rather than from home. Restaurants and other businesses should open. Arts, music, sport and other cultural activities should resume. People who are more at risk may participate if they wish, while society as a whole enjoys the protection conferred upon the vulnerable by those who have built up herd immunity.


Dr. Martin Kulldorff, professor of medicine at Harvard University, a biostatistician, and epidemiologist with expertise in detecting and monitoring infectious disease outbreaks and vaccine safety evaluations.

Dr. Sunetra Gupta, professor at Oxford University, an epidemiologist with expertise in immunology, vaccine development, and mathematical modeling of infectious diseases.

Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, professor at Stanford University Medical School, a physician, epidemiologist, health economist, and public health policy expert focusing on infectious diseases and vulnerable populations.


最简单好用的 VPS,没有之一,注册立得 100 美金
comments powered by Disqus

See Also


驳斥“新冠病毒人造”的阴谋论 ·方舟子· 自从新冠疫情爆发以来,就一直有一种阴谋论,认为新冠病毒是中国的实验室人为制造出来的;反过来,中国也有人说它是美国的实验室人为制造出来的。这些说法都是经不起推敲的。现在学术界公认新冠病毒是自然进化而来 …


中国新冠疫苗研发成功了吗? ·方舟子· 我在网上看到一个节目视频,里面央视著名主持人白岩松说,他从中国疾控中心负责疫苗研发的首席专家那里得到了一个好消息,中国研发的新冠疫苗在紧急应用当中获得了成功,给十万人用了基本没有副作用,而且没有一例感 …


品葱用户 舒潔拉拉拉 提问于 10/4/2020 北京那邊昨天有一車鮪魚被驗出新冠肺炎陽性,目前指向說進口海鮮會有携帶病毒的風險??? 全世界兩百多個國家天天在進出口貨物… 進口海鮮會挾帶肺炎的,也就中國獨一家了 我查了查網上新聞,進口海鮮 …